Any smart Venezuelan should be wondering why the eternal discussion of the regime-opposition dialogue was handed over to France, why now and not before the Europeans are very interested in Maduro and his regime of delinquents finding agreements with the opposition? And the first thing that comes to my mind is that when something dead takes so long to be buried, it decomposes and the stench becomes so unbearable that everyone has to intervene, starting with the neighbor. We will see why I say this.
The US has already played everything that had to be played in a direct way, including leaving the recognized president, Juan Guaidó, hanging on the wall, to manage to impose that both sides (or we could rather call them gangs) convene to reach agreements to unlock the possibility of an agreement with a view to improving the oil supply coming out of a Venezuela in political crisis, to appease the one that the world, and especially Europe, is experiencing because of the war in Ukraine. The US has made important concessions without any consideration to the criminal gang of the regime without concrete results. At that point they decided to change the strategy.
The first thing they decided was to no longer appear publicly negotiating with criminals in a direct way, and even less in contradiction with decisions previously taken to support the interim. Hence, they began to play political billiards, trying to indirectly move the stubborn ball of the regime through others who may also be hurt by the fact that the Venezuelan situation remains stagnant.
And this would be done through countries interested in the Venezuelan problem, such as Colombia and later France, as we shall see. And the results began to be noticed with the first visit of the President of Colombia, Gustavo Petro, to Venezuela, in the Joint Declaration signed on November 1, 2022.
Suddenly, at the end of that statement, there appears a point that is absolutely political and domestic of Venezuela, which had nothing to do with the previous ones, purely related to the resumption of bilateral trade relations, where Petro shows his "interest" in the existence of an agreement between Maduro and his opposition: "10. President Gustavo Petro wishes the greatest success in the resumption of the dialogue table between the Government of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and the Venezuelan opposition and for which we are at your disposal" (see in Spanish The 11 points of the joint statement signed by Maduro and Petro, in https://finanzasdigital.com/2022/11/conozca-los-11-puntos-de-la-declaracion-conjunta-firmada-por-maduro-y-petro/).
Why is the most important partner -until now- of the U.S. in Latin America pushing diplomatically for a solution to the Venezuelan problem? Is it doing it for free? History with our Colombian brothers has shown us that this has its cost. The Americans request this "favor" from the Colombians in exchange for who knows what file, and they pressure Maduro to return to Mexico's negotiations where it hurts: bilateral trade relations.
On the other hand, the United States, in another indirect pool shot, decided that the European countries should wet their own asses if they want to eat cachama (a popular fish), as they say in Guyana. If they want oil to keep them warm in a gloomy winter, courtesy of Putin, let them take it directly from Maduro. They will do nothing more for that, they have already done their part with Chevron and they are only waiting for those negotiations to begin in Mexico to lift the pending sanctions and authorize the North American oil company to begin its maintenance contract with the criminal regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros.
However, the driver of the European Union's policy with Latin America is Spain, but apparently that is beginning to change. According to sources in Europe "Pedro Sanchez does not want to know anything about Maduro because he does not want to be seen in Spain as a radical who is in the hands of Podemos"... "Spain seems to have been left out of the game in the Latin American scenario just when the left is regaining power in the main countries of the region. For the moment, France has taken the initiative and next November 11 a private meeting of Venezuelan negotiators has been scheduled within the Paris Peace Conference, in a new attempt to reactivate the dialogue organized by Mexico and facilitated by Norway" (see in Spanish Macron takes advantage of Sanchez's "laziness" in Latin America to place France as mediator in Maduro's Venezuela, in https://www.larazon.es/internacional/20221108/auaid4b4n5gpdgiyk2zqqjgbkq.html).
Why do I
say that the US is behind all this political chess (or pool?), first with
Colombia and then with the European Union through France? Because it is the
only country with enough political influence in the Western world to make
change the geopolitical equation that implies that the regime moves in favor of
its interests, without counting that these things do not happen alone. "In Paris, in addition, the President
of Colombia, Gustavo Petro, and the Presidents of Mexico, Andrés Manuel López
Obrador; Chile, Gabriel Boric, and Argentina, Alberto Fernández will meet under
the auspices of Macron" indicates the note of the international
portal. And with all these Presidents will meet the envoys of Maduro and his
opposition who do not represent anyone in Venezuela.
And it is
not because the U.S. government "ignores" another alternative for
Venezuela. It is because a political action of those who claim to represent us,
with years of lobbying payments in the North American country, move the levers
of decision towards only one way to confront the criminals who usurp power in
Venezuela: elections to legitimize the regime.
ANCO has formally presented for months now to the US government, through its diplomatic channels, an inclusive solution, explaining that this wrong course will ultimately harm their own interests in the region, suggesting support for the Venezuelan people to express themselves directly through the Constituent Mechanism, established in the Constitution, with the electoral arbitration of the International Community. In other words, that the people decide the future of Venezuela, not unrepresented politicians with many interests. However, the path officially chosen by the U.S., with its international partners, is heading towards screwing Maduro, with a useless opposition, and that will be regrettable for all.
Elections in 2023 or 2024 - for that matter it is the same thing - will be held only if Venezuelans allow it. Each part of this staging will have its interests satisfied: Maduro will stay in power legitimately with elections, by controlling the electoral apparatus, the opposition will be satisfied with the crumbs and the money given to them by the regime, the countries of the International Community, including the US, will get rid of a nuisance by negotiating with a single interlocutor everything they need from Venezuela, even with a criminal (they have already done it many times before). And the ONLY assholes and losers will be the rest of Venezuelans. And here the phrase "Venezuela is not Cuba" fits well, because in Venezuela there is more to be shared among them all for more than 60 years...
And my next questions are these: Are we going to allow them? Are we going to continue like lambs ready for a macabre electoral slaughterhouse, courtesy of the geopolitical situation of the world? Are we going to continue believing the road stories of the political delinquents of the official opposition, in their primary game, to go happily to that slaughterhouse? Let's turn our backs to that criminal billiard game! Venezuelans have the last word...
Caracas, November 11, 2022
Blog: https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
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