The much that has been written and referred to in Venezuela about the long duration of Castro's tyranny, which is already around 65 years old, and why it has not yet fallen after so long, tells the world that such a regime can exist, capable of riding on the desires for freedom of its own people. And that despite the blockade of the country, economic and political sanctions, and multiple condemnations from the international community, his regime is still alive after 65 years, subjugating the will of the Cuban people.
However, no one walks by the fact that the Cuban regime once colluded with the Soviet Union, ancestors of today's Russia, to bring the world to the brink of nuclear war. And why did that happen? Because Fidel Castro and his communist revolution were placed in the orbit of the countries sympathetic to the former USSR as the first country in the American continent to do so, which is why it was used by that power to place nuclear missiles to threaten the United States a few kilometers from its shores.
And as is well known and told in countless books and movies, the world did not self-destruct at that time because of a negotiation that in exchange for removing the missiles from the island, the Americans had to do the same in Turkey and Italy, with the condition that the US would never invade Cuba or support any group with that intention. That promise has been kept for 65 years. The result of this negotiation and the Soviet protection derived therefrom may be responsible for the 65 years of the regime initiated by Fidel Castro in his country.
For those young people who do not like to read much, I copy the excerpt of that historical moment about how the Cuban missile problem was peacefully solved, where we were all about to die on the planet because of a tiny regime that allowed its country to be the seat of nuclear bombs of an extracontinental power:
“Khrushchev (Nikita Khrushchev, Chairman of the Council of Ministers of the Soviet Union) proposed to Kennedy (John F. Kennedy, President of the United States) the dismantling of the Soviet nuclear missile bases, concerned about the possibility of a unilateral Cuban action, as expressed in his letter of reply on October 28 in Cuba, in exchange for a formal and public guarantee that the United States would not carry out or support an invasion of Cuban territory. In addition, the Soviet proposal established that the United States should also in exchange carry out the dismantling of the nuclear missile bases located in the territory of Turkey, a country bordering the Soviet Union. It also called for the removal of the PGM-19 Jupiter medium-range ballistic missile that the Americans maintained in southern Italy. Soviet and American diplomats conducted urgent and continuous secret negotiations in Washington and Moscow, conveying each other's proposals for resolving the crisis throughout the 27th. However, Fidel Castro was excluded from the secret negotiations, while the Soviet government refused to hold consultations on the subject with the Havana regime. .... After the secret negotiations, Kennedy and his cabinet accepted the Soviet offer in the early hours of Sunday, October 28, behind the back of Fidel Castro, who publicly and in correspondence reproached Khrushchev on October 28, 30 and 31. This agreement became known later, since Kennedy accepted it on the condition that he would neither invade Cuba nor support any group with that intention. The dismantlement of Turkey's PGM-19 Jupiter medium-range ballistic missile was not made public until it was carried out six months later” (see in Spanish Wikipedia, Crisis de los misiles de Cuba, in https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crisis_de_los_misiles_de_Cuba).
And why evoke such a bitter memory, you may ask? Because the Venezuelan case, compared to that of Cuba in 1962, is perhaps many times more complex than the crisis of that year, but without the immediate but certain threat of nuclear missiles aimed at the US.
Just as the US negotiated with the Soviets in 1962 the withdrawal of missiles in Cuba without the presence of Fidel Castro, in exchange for its own missiles in Turkey and Italy and its future non-intervention to get out of that regime, the US should negotiate the withdrawal of Russia and its Cuban satellite, Iran and China in Venezuela's military affairs, without the presence of the regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros, in exchange for interests that only they can know.
And why would the US do that? Because the onslaught of these 3 countries in Venezuela, as a consequence of a US foreign policy that did not prioritize its natural allies in the continent, is the first of many incursions that would probably be made from Venezuela to the rest of the Latin American countries. And if it is not nipped in the bud, it will isolate the US from the rest of the American continent, a situation much more dangerous for them than the crisis caused by a simple Caribbean island with missiles aimed at them, which can be quickly dismantled. The Cuban missile crisis of 1962 can be a lesson for today's Venezuela.
A Venezuela in the hands of these extra-continental powers, as it is at the moment, will be easily followed by Colombia, and the rest of the Latin American countries will fall like dominoes in a predictable sequence. All this without taking into account that those countries would also have tyrannies such as Venezuela's, which would last for many generations, like the Cuban one. This preventive and peaceful negotiation will certainly save the US from a crisis similar to or worse than that of 1962, given the military technology that exists today, not to mention the permanent and growing threat of terrorism and drug trafficking.
The conditions are ripe for such negotiation at this moment because the Venezuelan people unquestionably pronounced themselves on July 28, and there is, unlike in the near past, a clear and competent leadership to take the reins of the country, and a President whom the people elected with a majority that the current presidents of the continent are already envying.
However, here there would be a fundamental difference that did not exist in the Cuban case of 1962. Venezuelans today can, unlike the Cubans of 1962, solve our crisis internally, but for that to happen there must not be the noise of the regime's support by those powers, so that Venezuela has the opportunity to return to its democratic path from the hands of its own military and political actors. It is not possible to ask our military to solve this crisis without first solving the mega crisis externally, which is beyond our reach.
In previous historical situations in Venezuela, where the Armed Forces played a leading role in the return of institutionality and democracy, the world did not have the multipolar political complexity it has today, nor did the tentacles of geopolitical interests exist for the interested support of a tyranny. If this bias is corrected where it should be corrected, the country will surely return, at the right time and in its own dynamics, to the path of democracy and freedom.
Caracas, August 19, 2024
Blog:
TIC’s & Derechos Humanos, https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
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