Practically since the tragedy with this regime began, I have always thought that Venezuela is like a whole country in a hostage situation. I pointed this out in 2014 when the students were being massacred in the streets by the regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros (see in Spanish, País secuestrado, inn https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/2014/04/pais-secuestrado.html). It said: "And the kidnappers need you, the people of Venezuela, to make the boys calm down. But as you well know it is impossible to sit down with them (the kidnappers) because the ONLY valid conversation is that they LEAVE THE HOUSE IMMEDIATELY. And now it will not only be the boys who will protest to get them out, but also the rest of the family, because they have lost their fear of them. Look at what the boys have achieved...".
And I still think the same, the only possible conversation is for them to leave the house immediately. That is the opportunity presented by the new negotiation process proposed by ANCO and assumed as its own by the Governing Council of the Citizens' Conference for the Constitutional and Democratic Restoration (see in Spanish Propuesta a la Nación y la Comunidad Internacional, in https://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2021/07/el-consejo-rector-de-la-conferencias.html). The fact is that the word "negotiation" is so discredited that the mere mention of it implies surrender to the regime. And this is not so.
There are only two ways to confront the regime: by the peaceful and constitutional way, or by the violent way. There is no middle ground, just as there is no such thing as a "half-pregnant" woman. As I mentioned in my 2014 note, armed individuals are holding us hostage in our own house, and the police outside are making strenuous attempts to get them to leave peacefully without the need to enter violently and generate deaths on both sides, including those of us who live in the house. Or that the regime produces such a virulent internal reaction that we end up in a civil war.
In previous attempts at negotiation, the "negotiators" were not only deceived by the criminals, but became their accomplices in prolonging the ordeal of those living in the house. Hence, no one inside the house trusts any more in a negotiation, preferring that the police enter by force and thus end the ordeal once and for all, no matter how many dead are counted in the end. Or that any way out that involves violence is the solution. As desperate as this is, I have always believed that peace should always be given a chance, as they used to say in the time of the wars in the 60s, even if I am branded as a flower eater.
Maduro's demands as a requirement to sit down to negotiate, that is, that the sanctions be lifted, that he and his unruly parliament be recognized, or that the loot seized abroad be returned to him, means that there is not even the possibility of a probable negotiation with him. It is the same request that the kidnappers in our 2014 example would make to stay forever in the house and be left alone. They are not even considering asking for a plane to leave and leaving the house with the loot. I would negotiate that with the criminals if they agree to that process as long as they leave the house.
The attempts of "negotiation" made by President-in-Charge Juan Guaidó for "elections with conditions" have that same result, let alone getting the regime to accept a presidential election when precisely what they are asking to negotiate is the recognition of their spurious presidency fraudulently obtained on May 20, 2018. What does all this leave us with? That there would be nothing to offer the regime to get the criminals to abandon the kidnapping to which they are subjecting the population, beyond the lifting of the sanctions imposed by the International Community.
The above indicates that the regime will continue on its path of elections with or without the official opposition, among other things because it already has a bought opposition for November - those of the so-called "mesita" - and although this will not remove the sanctions, they will be able to continue on their path of consolidation and kidnapping of Venezuelans.
In view of the above, we have proposed a new negotiation route that includes the mourner: the civil society, with a new and unique proposal to be negotiated: an Original Constituent election process. Why would this be acceptable to the regime? Because it would comply with the requirements to lift the sanctions in the June 25 declaration on Venezuela by the US, EU and Canada regarding a solution that includes all Venezuelans: “The peaceful solution to that deep political, social, and economic crisis has to come from the Venezuelan people themselves through Venezuelan-led, comprehensive negotiations with participation from all stakeholders” (see US-EU-Canadá: Joint Statement on Venezuela, in https://www.state.gov/u-s-eu-canada-joint-statement-on-venezuela/). We have already tirelessly stated that we are interested stakeholders. Furthermore, all sectors of the country would be represented in this process, including the PSUV, negotiating with all those involved in the proposed table the basis for the election of these representatives, with the electoral intermediation of the International Community represented in the signatories of the Joint Declaration on Venezuela.
Such process would result in the legitimate representation of all Venezuelans from any part of the country and of any tendency, and would bring as a consequence a definitive solution to the Executive Power held by Nicolás Maduro Moros. Not even he could doubt that it is the Venezuelan people who will decide the destiny of the Nation, considering that it was his own mentor, Hugo Chávez Frías who proposed the constituent solution for the first time in Venezuela in an electoral campaign in 1998. Why what was good for the turkey in 1998 cannot be equally good for the female turkey in 2021? The difference would be that in this opportunity, the bases of this convocation would be negotiated with all those involved so that no party would be at a disadvantage over the other. How else could we put back on track what was derailed in 1999?
Nowhere here am I denying the criminal character of those who now run the country. The difference is that this negotiation would be the equivalent of negotiating the kidnapping of Venezuelans, giving the kidnappers the opportunity to get on the plane to abandon the kidnapping without bloodshed. By refusing to give participation to the Venezuelan people in the solution of the crisis, not only the regime but also those who make up the internationally recognized official Venezuelan opposition, would be openly declaring that this would be the last effort of a negotiated solution and this should be understood by the signatories of the Joint Declaration on Venezuela abroad. After that, to insist on negotiating with the kidnappers would surely cost many more lives of innocent Venezuelans, so then the next stage of this kidnapping must follow.
Some Venezuelans think that there is still an opportunity to present this alternative to Venezuelans and the world, just days or hours before the official opposition commits the irreparable mistake of recognizing the regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros by participating in spurious regional elections, which would only give the regime the very difficult to refute argument that by all parties participating in elections and committing themselves to accept their results, they would not only be recognizing the CNE but also the National Assembly of the regime that appointed it, illegitimately elected on December 6, 2020, and rejected by the majority of the Venezuelan people in the Popular Consultation held from December 7 to 12, 2020. This would turn its back on 6.4 million Venezuelans who gave a clear mandate. From that point on, anyone has the right to solve this by force.
The international community that signed that Declaration, starting with the U.S., would have no other choice but to accept that fact of the regime, granting legitimacy to that spurious Parliament and ceasing to recognize what remains of the National Assembly of 2015. That is what those who, out of short-sighted ambitions for local positions, are placing the future of Venezuela on the edge of the ravine, do not quite understand.
I can understand those who have already closed all negotiations with the regime. And to those I say that the only possible negotiation for the hijackers is for them to get on the plane that we offer them of a Constituent election so that it may decide the future of Venezuelans. If this does not happen, it does not mean that the Constituent process is not necessary. In that case it would become even more necessary but to pick up whatever remains of the rubble of the Republic after the fall of the regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros by any means that reality imposes. And that terrain is no longer that of negotiation with criminals, but that of generalized political violence. I hope those who are pushing it know what that is about because that war will not be far from the home of all of us....
Caracas, July 31, 2021
Blog: https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
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