By Luis Manuel Aguana
The figures shown in the recent CATI Meganalisis survey, Verdad Venezuela, which show the picture of Venezuelan sentiment in the last week of March 2025, are by no means surprising, especially those related to Venezuelans' distrust of the electoral system (see complete survey in Spamish in http://t.me/meganalisis).
In effect, to the open question “Would you vote in the regional elections being called by the current CNE?”, the resounding answer was a NO from 83.7% of those polled. But the definitely brutal data is the distrust in the CNE which, according to the pollster, reaches historic levels. To the open question, “Do you trust the honesty, impartiality and professionalism of the National Electoral Council?”, the answer was 87.73% NO.
For those of us who have been denouncing for years the partiality and electoral fraud of the regime through the CNE in Venezuela, these figures are nothing more than the result of the years that were necessary for the Venezuelan people to finish waking up, and which correspond to the fact that there is an authoritarian form of government in Venezuela that has historically manipulated the electoral figures, reaching its climax on July 28, 2024, where Venezuelans definitively internalized that their vote would not materialize a change in the political situation of the country in the foreseeable near future.
Even the supposed opponents, who, in spite of the evident fraud in the electoral results of July 28, still insist in continuing the farce of the regime, postulating their candidacies for a new election, without the existence of official results of the last presidential election. The reaction of repulsion of the people was not long in coming, when to the question “How would you qualify the politicians who decide to be candidates in the regional elections of May 25?”, 81.8% answered that these politicians “consciously serve Maduro and Chavismo”. It was nothing we did not already know, but the surprise is that those scorpions still insist on being vindicated before the public opinion.
But abstention, now overwhelmingly in the majority, continues to be a problem because when openly manifesting the rejection to the electoral manipulations of the regime, this by itself does not constitute an effective form of protest, if it does not carry with it an active component of citizen rebellion. It is not only refraining from buying the electoral product of the regime and its scorpion opposition, but anything else that comes along with it, manifesting in practice a concrete action of the people as a consequence of this rejection.
The regime has announced a Constitutional Reform to be announced in the first days of next May and which must be submitted to the consideration of the Venezuelans through a Referendum 30 days after being sanctioned in the National Assembly (Article 344 of the Constitution).
The regime is not going to take the rejection of the majority of the people for granted, but will act accordingly, manipulating the results as it already did with the Essequibo Referendum, where 10 million votes “appeared” out of nowhere, without queues in the centers, and making the evident possibility of rolling the electoral date of May 25 to one that coincides with the date of the Referendum on the Constitutional Reform, to be approved by the National Assembly, thus killing two birds with one stone, and possibly leaving for history, that election as the one that could well be the last one directly carried out by Venezuelans.
And why this fear? Because Maduro already delivered his first draft of the reform of 80 articles of the Constitution to the Constitutional Reform Commission presided by Jorge Rodriguez, President of the National Assembly of the regime, and “advanced that this reform includes a modification of the structure of the State”. In the same way, Maduro informed that a “broadening and improvement of democracy” would take place, through “the incorporation of communal, social and popular power” to the three existing levels of power -national, regional and municipal-“ (see in Spanish La Voz de América, ¿Qué cambios persigue la reforma constitucional que promueve Maduro en Venezuela?”, in https://www.vozdeamerica.com/a/que-cambios-persigue-reforma-constitucional-que-promueve-maduro-venezuela-/7980519.html).
Changes of the magnitude indicated by the head of the regime CANNOT BE CARRIED OUT, through a reform, as established in Article 342 of the Constitution: “Article 342: The purpose of the constitutional reform is a partial revision of this Constitution and the substitution of one or several of its norms that do not modify the structure and fundamental principles of the constitutional text...” (emphasis added).
And precisely the regime intends, according to Maduro's announcement at the time, “a modification in the structure of the State”, by pretending to modify it with “the incorporation of the communal, social and popular power” to the three existing levels of powers -national, regional and municipal-”. Such constitutional modifications can only be carried out within the framework of a legitimately called National Constituent Assembly, as established in Article 347 of the 1999 Constitution itself.
And all these events will take place with the absence of 83.7% of the Venezuelan voters present in the country, and the voters in a diaspora of more than 8 million Venezuelans, who for obvious reasons will not be counted. That is what the country is approaching in approximately one month, without any response from the leadership of the opposition legitimately elected on July 28, 2024.
In view of this terrifying situation, the Alianza Nacional Constituyente Originaria, ANCO, proposed to the political leadership a concrete action of the people, as an active component to the majority rejection of the Venezuelan people to the electoral system, the convocation by popular initiative to a National Constituent Assembly (or as it is known abroad, to a Constituent Convention), with Electoral Arbitration by international organizations, under pressure from the International Community, in view of the irritating Regional Elections and denaturalized by fraud, and in the face of an illegitimate Constituent Assembly, to a Constituent Convention) with the Electoral Arbitration of international organizations, under pressure from the International Community, in the face of irritating Regional Elections and denaturalized by fraud, and in the face of an illegitimate Constituent disguised as a Constitutional Reform.
This would be a clear response of citizen rebellion to the serious dismantling of the democratic system of the country, by means of an unlawful Constitutional Reform without the participation of the citizens, and whose manifestation is already taking place due to the historical levels of abstention. If the opposition political leadership has a different solution to the dissolution of the State as we know it, it is time for them to make it known. Venezuelans are in urgente need of it…
Caracas, April 24, 2025
Blog:
TIC’s & Derechos Humanos, https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
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