The meaning of 10E

By Luis Manuel Aguana

Versión en español

As expected, it was impossible to avoid the anxiety of Venezuelans to know how the bill for July 28 will end up being paid. And that is no small thing. To the extent that the regime is lashing out against the population, deepening the violation of Human Rights, making changes at different levels of government -civilian and military-, to entrench itself in view of the transfer of power that must take place according to the Constitution, on January 10, 2025, it is natural to demand a logical explanation from those in charge of the opposition in order to know how the long awaited return to the promised freedom, which would result from all the effort made to show the world that the majority of Venezuelans voted for a change, will take place.

As the days go by, uneasiness grows because we see nothing to indicate that on 10E Edmundo González Urrutia (EGU) will be sworn in as President in office of Venezuela, but we do see a regime that, in spite of all its fights and internal contradictions, seems to be in the eyes of everyone tougher than ever and dead laughing, after the open-air robbery of the July 28 elections. This, as is natural, causes concern and growing uneasiness about what will happen on 10E, and about the actions that the opposition is somehow carrying out to make EGU be sworn in on that date.

I must stop here to express that I do not know what they are doing and although I am also worried about this lack of knowledge, I have placed all my trust in these actions, regardless of what they are and how they will be carried out. But that does not mean that I am not anxious like the rest of Venezuelans. And if we have failed on many occasions before, after a great gesture of the civil society, it has been largely because the official opposition has been responsible for multiple mistakes, product of traitors in the ranks of the opposition, very close to those who make the crucial decisions. We must never forget that.

Then, it would not be strange that only a small closed circle of trust headed by María Corina Machado (MCM) knows what is being executed to take EGU to the Presidency in office on 10E, so we should not really care about what they do, as long as it is effective. And so far what they have done has been effective.

In that context, we are in the middle of the most delicate part of the whole operation to oust the regime. Dr. Rosabeth Moss Kanter, American sociologist and professor at Harvard Business School, illustrates why this is happening, establishing what is now known as Kanter's Law: “Everything can look like a failure in the middle”. To expand on the concept, you can review Six keys to positive change (see Dr. Rosabeth Moss Kanter, Six keys to leading positive change,  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=owU5aTNPJbs&feature=youtu.be), which I suggest you study very carefully, as it applies to everyone, from the personal, to the organizational, to the political.

What are the implications of Kanter's Law? That there is nothing we undertake that does not run into some obstacle in the middle of the road, which is expressed in phrases such as the following: “it is taking longer than we imagined because this has never been done before”, ‘we still do not have the resources’, ‘we are attacked by those who do not believe in this’, ‘we have to do it differently starting from the beginning because so-and-so said so’, etc., etc., etc., etc.

According to the above, this law tells us that the “halves” of the road are very, very difficult. But we cannot give up because “if we give up, by definition, it is a failure” according to this professor. If we continue, persist and persevere, looking for ways out of the obstacles, we will succeed. Perhaps a greater success than we originally expected. “Never giving up is the hallmark of leadership,” according to Dr. Kanter.  Then we are left to trust in the chosen path, whatever it may be, because of the leadership we gave ourselves, where precisely the “never give up” was marked with the phrase “until the end”, and because the final evaluation has a decided date, 10E, and we are still in the middle of the road.

But there is something that I believe is as or more important than not knowing how EGU will be sworn in on 10E, and which few have realized. When this electoral route was initiated under the conditions imposed by the regime, the whole world, nationally and internationally, was committed to enforce this route, regardless of all the obstacles imposed. And the International Community endorsed it despite the fact that it was led by a criminal regime.

In other words, THE WORLD BELIEVED AND ENDORSED THE VENEZOLAN ELECTORAL ROUTE as the only peaceful and constitutional way out to solve the political crisis in our country, and practically forced us all to follow it. And although we did it reluctantly and with everything against us, the democrats triumphed on July 28 and we proved it to the world in those elections with the Minutes in hand. Now, it is difficult for them to go back and recognize fraud. That forcefulness is irrefutable.

If the political change voted for by the overwhelming majority of Venezuelans does not materialize on 10E, it will not only be the failure of the political opposition led by MCM and EGU, but also the failure of the democratic system as an institution based on the vote in the continent. Nothing will prevent any other president from blatantly stealing an election and staying in power, in any country, and absolutely nothing will happen.

All this will spread like a virus to the detriment of every Latin American country, not to mention that in Venezuela the vote will have no value, because no one in their right mind will continue to believe in that way to elect anyone in Venezuela. Such is the final damage to the system caused by the criminality that leads the country. This is for those who still think of regional elections next year without resolving the July 28 fraud. 10E not only means the date of the swearing in of a President, it is the date of the final validation of the vote as an institution in Venezuela and in Latin America.

And that will have consequences. If Maduro insists on installing himself on 10E as a de facto ruler, without any legitimacy in the eyes of the world, what will prevent anyone within the regime's apparatus from seeking ways to replace him? Why Maduro and not someone else with sufficient power? That will be the official kick-off for anyone to rise. The very “take you off to put me on”. The regime will be as unstable as that of any African republic in the 60s, where presidents were changed monthly, usually with the blood of those who were in charge. Total collapse, then.

Hence, it is not only necessary, but essential for Venezuela, and especially for the democratic health of the continent, that EGU is sworn in as President of the Republic of Venezuela on January 10, 2025, even with the support of Maduro himself, even if you think I have gone crazy, because at this point he should be the most interested because of what is coming his way. That is why I believe that even though I do not know how they are going to do it, it is in the interest of all of us -including Nicolás Maduro Moros- that they do it...

Caracas, October 25, 2024

Blog: TIC’s & Derechos Humanos, https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/

Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com

Twitter:@laguana

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