Intervention at the Pio
Tamayo Chair - 29-01-2018
"From El Junquito to
the ANC Presidential: The Same Murder-Massacrant Line?"
The Junquito Massacre and Elections
Por Luis Manuel Aguana
Many thanks
to the Pio Tamayo Chair for the opportunity to participate again in the
discussion of issues of special importance for Venezuela, such as this very
serious case that touches on many dimensions of the problem we face in the
country.
I wrote to
the following days of the massacre a note stating that the case of Oscar Pérez
has not yet been evaluated in its rightful dimension, not only because of its
implications for the regime for the violation of the human rights of those who
were massacred in the presence of the whole world through social networks, but
also because of its importance in the current politics, military reactions, as
well as in the reaffirmation of the outlaw character of the State led by
Nicolas Maduro. I believe that the regime has dismissed the implications of
this vile assassination, dismissing it as any of those it has committed since
2002, which is very different.
But that
story has already been sketched out by Prof. Blanco Muñoz in his extensive and
explanatory article (in Spanish) “De la Masacre del Junquito a la Masacre
Electoral” (http://historiactual.blogspot.com/2018/01/de-la-masacre-de-el-junquito-la-masacre.html). Many questions that
apparently point to a scandalous open and threatening message from the regime
to society as a whole, which proves everything we have seen on the streets when
they throw the collectives to attack the marches, but at the same time
demonstrates their surprising weakness and contradictions.
Personally,
however, I do not believe that this tragic episode is the result of a cold
calculation of an increase in aggression against society in order to achieve
its ultimate domination. Don't get me wrong. Certainly, what happened in the
Junquito was a massacre similar to those already used by other governments in
the past as Prof. Blanco Muñoz indicates, but unlike them, in my opinion this
one responds to a huge disorder of the regime and its indefinite hierarchical
lines.
The
positions of power in Venezuela were divided before Hugo Chávez's death between
the two Galactic dolphins: Diosdado Cabello and Nicolas Maduro. In order for Cabello
to accept that Maduro should remain as a successor in the Presidency, he asked
PDVSA, SENIAT and the Armed Forces for a price. The crown jewels then. Hence,
after Chavez's death, the country became a bag of cats with unknown course
without a single boss. The intrigues, the orders and counter-orders, the
treacherous officials to one or another current have made of a government that
in itself is bad in one enormously worse. And extremely dangerous for
Venezuelans. And that imploded on January 15 with the murder of Oscar Perez.
Both currents are united only by the instinct of survival.
Consulting
these days with people who know about military intelligence and they tell me
that Oscar Perez did the opposite of what is done when they intend to carry out
command operations with expectations of success: he was a media man, he did not
dedicate himself to what the irregular armed groups like the Colombian case do,
which is why nobody really took him seriously. Result: he was located and
killed by a regime that is in a panic attack. That was his tragedy. However, he
was in contact with many active military officials and this has the regime in a
high degree of alertness and danger.
How does
this connect with the electoral issue? Clearly the regime escaped forward, covering the
massacre with a call for elections from the unconstitutional constituent. They
know that it is not possible to sustain this state of things for much longer
without doing something. And that something is the electoral carnival, accompanied by a puppet
opposition delivered and easily affordable. But like all bad circus the dwarfs
grew.
The
international community immediately rejected that clearly fraudulent call. For
all the reasons that have long been outlined by this scribe and a group of
prominent Venezuelans, the CNE is a technical trap to which the opposition goes
unconditionally. The result: they'll lose again, even if they bring in Donald
Trump as a candidate. It is a complete nonsense to go to elections with an
official Constituent in office, not to mention the absence of minimum
conditions.
The exit?
Close ranks against this electoral process, leaving the regime alone. In
Venezuela, the elections ended as we knew them. Now what remains is to call us
to a solution that pushes for an exit of the regime from inside and outside the
country, that does not allow governance until they accept to be counted in an
authentic way, being understood to mean a Popular Consultation with concerted
questions, without the CNE and in the style of, 16J but this time with
consequences.
Will it be
difficult? Of course it will be difficult! But the game will now have to be one
that involves non-violent civil resistance in any of its manifestations from
all sectors of society. The other way out is to flee the country or resist
until you reach that goal with the risk of perishing in the attempt. The death
is already being contemplated every day by those of us who decide to face the
problem in the country, be it because of hunger, crime, disease or the regime's
own violence. Then let
everyone decide what they want to do...
Thank you very much....
Caracas, January 30, 2018
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
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