A naive proposal

By Luis Manuel Aguana

I remember with affection the discussions I had with my journalist daughter. Despite her youth, she was a very well-formed criterion, the product of an excellent university education and the constant handling she had with her university students - she was a professor of digital media, a specialization she had despite her young age - which made her a permanent challenge for her old father's argumentative capacity.

One discussion we often had was the issue of the objectivity of the journalist and whether it was really possible for someone - not just a journalist, but anyone - to be truly objective in the face of controversial issues and present cases to the public without an interest bias. I am not talking about deliberately, but unconsciously. She indicated that this was not possible, that a good journalist presented the facts to the public and did what was necessary for the public to reach its own conclusions. I insisted that this purity could not exist in any human being and that it would always come out what he really thought, his real interest, no matter how much objectivity he tried to apply, taking sides even without wanting to do so, in an unconscious way. And my argument was that all human beings are the product of our own history and that 100% objectivity was impossible in anyone. God took her away leaving the discussion open.

When I read Mingo's invitation on her Twitter account to Dr. Blanca Rosa Marmol's interview with the headline "Is it "Naif" to address another letter to the OAS calling for its help in achieving a "Humanitarian Electoral Solution" I smiled, remembering the old argument with my daughter Maria Cecilia (see twit in https://twitter.com/laguana/status/1277405690252886017). And as Mingo explained in the interview (see in Spanish Solución Humanitaria de carácter Electoral: entrevista a la Dra. Blanca Rosa Mármol de León, en https://youtu.be/ZpmgC8u1uqM) I jumped up and answered him, instead of inviting people to his show, as if I were in the middle of an argument with my daughter, because that's what I would have said to her, arguing: Aha! See? That's what I mean! My sincere apologies to Mingo for a jump he couldn't have known about...

I would have told my daughter: the journalist already tagged the proposal before hearing the guest's explanation, that even if it is a question, the headline predisposed the listener: The proposal is naive! The score starts 1 to 0 in favor of denying it before the game starts! And it's not that I'm saying that Mingo did something wrong on purpose, no! On the contrary, I consider him to be one of the best journalists in Venezuela. What I'm saying is that, going back to my point of the old argument with my journalist daughter, there is something that is skewing any debate in Venezuela regarding the solution to this crisis. And that is that we have reached a point where we all decide from the inside the solution that has to be applied, without looking anywhere else. It seems that we are all polarized in favor or against military intervention, and anything that says "electoral" we don't even look at it because it is collaborationist. And I am afraid that if a balanced journalist of Mingo's stature has already taken a side in favour of a solution, things will be very difficult to explain this issue.

Dr. Mármol made an extraordinary presentation in the interview, and Mingo played the role my daughter told me good journalists play. He asked the necessary questions so that people would come to their own conclusion, and I loved that because from my perspective Mingo agreed with her... But I still have my point! She must be laughing at me...

Now, there are two things I would like to add - if there is still something to add to that very complete explanation by Dr. Mármol - and the first is what Mingo entitled: Is the proposal we made "naif" (or naive) Some may say that the question was not finally fully answered to the satisfaction of those who want an immediate solution, that is, to the supporters of a military intervention. And from the perspective of Dr. Marmol's answer, indicating that this step must be taken first, to definitively leave any peaceful and constitutional solution out of the question, and to proceed to arms, I must indicate that I believe that is part of the answer.

If the OAS is playing tricks on us, ignoring us, and not even discussing the issue, it means, as Dr. Mármol indicated, that the Foreign Ministers - and consequently their governments - would not even be willing to give us that electoral mediation assistance, which puts us Venezuelans in a position to solve this problem by ourselves, the hard way. And that is very dangerous for the region - and for them - significantly increasing the risk that Venezuela already represents. That should be understood by diplomats and their governments.

From that moment on, the OAS countries would have indirectly given the green light for us to try anything, from a solution to the Nicaraguan contras to an internal rebellion, with the consequent worsening of the lives of Venezuelans. The proposal in that sense is by no means "naive", it has rather a very deep political and diplomatic foundation because it would put an end to the subjective discussion, fixing where the peaceful and constitutional proposals end. This would be the end point. Because, as Dr. Mármol indicated, the continent would have no way of excusing itself to serve as an arbiter of such a proposal. And if it does so, then we end any peaceful discussion for Venezuela because that would be the final check of that management. And make no mistake, that formality is required before taking up arms.

The second is that insisting on military intervention without someone working with the countries that can make it possible makes that solution very difficult. As far as we know, nobody outside the interim government would be able to work on that, and we have seen that the political factors of the official opposition, with Guaidó at the head, have consistently refused to manage military aid to solve the problem in Venezuela. In the event that the OAS denies us that cooperation to arbitrate the problem in Venezuela, how would we ordinary citizens change the position of the TIAR signatory countries, if our opposition leadership refuses to provide that aid? It is not a rhetorical question to be solved here, but I leave you with this: no one who is not invested with the recognized legitimacy of Guaidó will be considered belligerent to solve that in any country in the world. And as of December, the way things are going, I honestly don't think Guaidó exists politically... And that's very serious.

This leaves us in a situation that predicts a country with a future of anarchy and violence, unleashed by those who will desperately try to confront the regime, in a chaos of endless violence. I don't qualify that, it would simply be our foreseeable future as there is no military aid from outside, nor sufficient internal force to displace those who govern us. It is not enough to say that military intervention is needed if we do not answer how such intervention could be carried out without the support of those who recognise the Interim Government. If you have that answer, please do not wait any longer and proceed at once, you do not need to take us into account. And I would be the first to admit that they were right - how I wish that would happen tomorrow and be over!

But what is regrettable is that those who are calling for this military intervention use as an excuse a peaceful proposal of the kind described to distort it, blaming it from the outset for the possible paralysis of this intervention, which in itself has not moved since much earlier, because friendly countries do not wish to do so, and they have made this known to the Interim Government. I believe that if the proposal brought to the OAS did not exist, it would still have to be invented because until this moment no intermediate stages are perceived for Venezuela's situation before reaching a final armed confrontation, as it happens in every conflict situation. I hope that this is not naive enough on my part...

Caracas, June 30, 2020

Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana

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