By Luis
Manuel Aguana
A
lot of people stayed with the title and didn't read any more. Many
negative reactions without reading the content of a communiqué
signed by people from civil society who want a peaceful, electoral
and constitutional solution. Yeah, you read that right, ELECTORAL
(see
in Spanish
ANCO
respalda
la
solicitud de la SOCIEDAD CIVIL VENEZOLANA al Secretario General de la
OEA para la aplicación de una SOLUCIÓN HUMANITARIA DE CARACTER
ELECTORAL
http://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2020/06/comunicado-anco-respaldo-la-solicitud.html).
But
electoral does not necessarily mean with the regime's CNE, or from
the hands of Jorge Rodriguez and the new directive of a CNE pulled
out of the sleeves of the Illegitimate Supreme Court of Justice of
Baralt Avenue. What has been fundamentally the problem of Venezuela
since 2004, the year of the Revocatory Referendum of Hugo Chavez?
That the regime dismantled piece by piece since that year the only
mechanism for political dispute resolution available to any country
in the civilized world: an impartial, transparent and reliable
arbitrator. Without that, all that remains for those who are party to
a conflict is to resort to the garrotte. And the one who has it
bigger, wins. In other words, the reason of the force, because the
force of the reason of the majorities was dismantled. Period.
Now the
country as a whole is crying out for that stick. And since the only
institution in the country that since our founding as a Republic was
the one that put order between the parties in conflict, the Armed
Forces, was also dismantled, then those who want a solution to the
political problem are clamoring for that force outside the country.
And they are not wrong, the reasoning is correct from a cause and
effect perspective: since everything was dismantled, then someone
from the outside must come and fix what we Venezuelans broke.
From that
perspective, any country in the world sees us as a chicken that sees
salt. Since Venezuela's cancer has already grown, contaminating the
region, the argument for asking for this "help" of strength
is "if you don't get involved, then you will suffer from the
same". And there's no shortage of reason for those who would
argue that. Things will come, if the process of political, economic
and social decomposition continues, to the point where there is
nothing else to do. By that time there will be no Republic and
everyone who gets in will get a piece of it. Yes, as you read it.
Because if we get to that point, of course they will get in but it
will not be to solve the problem of the Venezuelans but to solve
their own problem, because at that point the one in control will be
the one with the guns. And that won't be us.
How can you
avoid that? In the War of Independence, there was someone who started
the war, or at least gave reasons for starting it. And that was us.
When we declared ourselves an independent nation from Spain, the
Spaniards came down on us. The Venezuelans, under the supreme command
of the Liberator, conducted the process from the very beginning. That
was from starting the war, getting the real ones to fight in it, to
hiring foreign officers to help us, to getting the last Spanish
soldier out of our lands. And the thing gave to liberate four more
nations. My question since this confrontation began was: who is in
charge of doing what needs to be done? If the thing had only been a
"declaration", Venezuela would still be a province of
Spain.
Now, when
Juan Guaidó came out, we all pointed to him as the one responsible
for leading this process of liberation, for good or for ill. Do you
think that if Guaidó asks for military aid from the countries that
recognized him, to proceed with a military intervention, they will
immediately give it to him by magic? I'll spare you the doubt:
definitely not. First, a Crisis Cabinet would have to be formed, with
experienced diplomats and institutional Generals to start negotiating
country by country to get each one to change its political position,
which it has already expressed in the different international forums:
that they do not want a military solution for Venezuela. Of course
they do not want it! I wouldn't want it either if I didn't see any
Venezuelans raising a hand first to organize themselves as the
Liberator did to fight a War of Independence to free his country.
Even less so if, on top of that, they see the President who
represents us, being the spokesman for a group of opposition parties
who have openly told the world that they reject a military solution.
So, what do we Venezuelans do? stubbornly insist that the countries
come to "liberate" us? demonstrate in front of the White
House for that until the Americans dare to put dead people in our
country? (not that that doesn't serve to demonstrate how Venezuela is
deteriorating, but definitely not to get things changed). That's the
recipe for adding 100 more years to the 20 that
Castro-Chavism-Madurism already carries.
Venezuelans
love immediate solutions (and who doesn't?). "My thing to be
given to me now" is part of our vocabulary. I've written enough
of that on this blog. That's cultural. Everyone in Venezuela wants to
know how to get out of this very complex problem in 240 characters of
Twitter. And unfortunately that's not possible. It is easier to ask
Guaidó (not that he is defending it) to authorize 187#11, or to
"apply TIAR or R2P" (things that are far, far beyond his
control). That's if it fits in those 240 characters. Guaidó or any
G4 politician has not even begun to consider any of that because they
have NO GOVERNMENT TO CONDUCT ANY STRATEGY. And apparently they don't
intend to have it either. Then we might as well ask him that or
something else.
As things
stand, we will continue to wait for the country to find itself in a
situation of greater political disintegration with each passing day.
And that process is happening faster and faster. So what should we be
looking for? First we don't stay calm. As long as there is life,
there is hope. Now we think of the new mantra of "alone we
cannot" but in another sense. In this sense, we ask the
countries, as Venezuelans directly suffering from this serious
problem, to consider solutions in the set of things that THEY CAN DO
for Venezuela. That is where creativity should be applied. In other
words, not to ask them to put up their dead but to help us build on
the strengths we do have to solve the crisis. And what is our
greatest strength? That every Venezuelan in the world wants to end
this nightmare. And that's a telluric force like a grade 10
earthquake. The big question is how do we channel and apply it? How
can we be helped from the outside with that?
And it is
from there that the HUMANITARIAN SOLUTION OF ELECTORAL CHARACTER
arises. Ask the closest countries which are within the framework of
the OAS (read implicitly: NOT those in the UN), and to its Secretary
General, Luis Almagro, who has been an advocate in the struggle for
our freedom, and who has already met countless times to discuss the
Venezuelan case, TO ACT AS ARBITRATORS, NOT AS INTERVENERS IN OUR
CONFLICT, in substitution of the one that the regime destroyed, and
to achieve with their help that AN ELECTORAL EVENT completely
conducted by the OAS takes place. It is clear that the group of
criminals that govern Venezuela will never want to be in good
standing, let alone have an impartial arbitrator. But it is not to
them that this solution is addressed, but to their masters, the
Russians, the Chinese and other countries on which they rely.
For those
skeptics who still believe that these countries could ignore a
solution like this, I remind you that they are indeed vertebrates,
and are led by politicians who also seek a satisfactory solution, and
are fully aware that they are using a bunch of criminals for their
benefit, and would clearly prefer that situation to change without
harming their interests.
In
this direction, and only as an example, I remind you of the
communication that ANCO addressed to the President of Russia,
Vladimir Putin on February 11, 2020 (see
in Spanish
ANCO entrega carta al Presidente de Rusia, Vladimir Putin, en
http://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2020/02/comunicado-anco-anco-entrega-carta-para.html)
and
that today it is necessary to make public, which was officially
answered on May 25, 2020 through its Ambassador in Venezuela, Mr.
Sergey Melik-Bagdasarov. There it is clearly stated on behalf of
President Putin that
"Russia
has advocated the settlement in Venezuela by the Venezuelans
themselves"
(see answer in
Spanish from
the Russian Embassy, at https://tinyurl.com/ybwsehce)
. Then Russia as a country could hardly oppose a solution like the
one expressed in our proposal to the OAS, if there were enough
regional pressure to make the criminals who sustain themselves at the
expense of those countries give in. In the same way, China and the
rest of the countries that accompany the regime. We're not saying
this doesn't need to be worked out diplomatically, or that the
solution is just around the corner. Of course it needs to be worked
out! But it is a solution that if it is within the reach of those
countries and that they would be willing to help if we contribute
ideas that can go the way that they are willing to go.
There
are definitely no magical or immediate solutions, however strong, to
the serious problem that we Venezuelans have. We have proposed a
solution as part of Venezuelan civil society. Civil society does not
belong to any group, nor can any group claim to represent it as a
whole. There are those who believe in a solution of strength. We
respect that. What is unacceptable is that we are condemned for
believing that there are solutions that could be better and more
expeditious, raised in the appropriate instances and doing the work
that needs to be done. They attack us without discussing the
substance with arguments, because of the wording of the letter, or
because of those of us who signed it, who are fully entitled to
propose another solution. That doesn't even deserve a response. The
solution proposed is aimed at Venezuela, and only its People's
Sovereignty will have the final word in due course.
Caracas,
June 17, 2020
Email:
luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
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