By Luis Manuel Aguana
The desperate flight forward of the official
opposition to the escalation of arrests that will inevitably occur because of
the March 26 announcements against the criminals at the top of the Venezuelan
regime, Juan Guaidó informed us on March 29 when he announced a National
Emergency Government:
"...This
National Emergency Government for obvious reasons cannot be headed by someone
accused of drug trafficking, but
neither can it be a government made up solely of the forces that we represent,
those who support me and have supported this path I must tell you that we must
be realistic, responsible, at this time that the country is going through so that it is possible and so that it
can be sustainable a National Emergency Government cannot be made up
solely of those who think the same way, nor can it be made up solely of the
others and those who support the dictatorship. It must be broad and include all
the political and social sectors necessary to confront this serious emergency
that is coming and that is going to get worse. Specifically, we propose the
installation of a National Emergency Government that includes all the political
sectors of the country. This
Emergency Government will delegate to the joint Council of State the
fundamental decisions and management of the State, attention to the emergency,
stability and reconciliation of the country. To open a humanitarian
channel that allows the immediate entry of international aid. The request of an
initial loan of 1200 million dollars to attend the emergency and to assign
direct resources to each family that depends on the day to day, starting with
the most vulnerable” (ver in Spanish Public
statement by Juan Guaidó in https://twitter.com/jguaido/status/1244068708143763456).
And why do I say desperate flight forward?
Because how else could the regime and its official opposition work together and
protect their common interests, doing immediate damage control, after the
masterful decision of the Americans to take action to stop Maduro and all his
entourage, spoiling any plan for electoral cohabitation that had already
crystallized when the Venezuelans marched unfailingly to an electoral
slaughterhouse at the end of 2020? They turned the electoral cohabitation
aborted by the U.S. Department of Justice into an emergency cohabitation
translated into a National Emergency Government in the face of what is coming.
The United States is very clear about the way
in which the evil virus of Castro-Chavism-Madurism can mutate after the exit
from power of Nicolás Maduro Moros and the main ones indicated by the US
Department of Justice. The problem is that it does not transform itself into a
strain that will bring together the ills affecting the region, as would be the
case if Henry Ramos Allup's "authoritarian enclaves" thesis were to
prosper, and which seems to have completely bought out the official opposition
of the G4-Broad Front with Juan Guaidó at its head (see in Spanish Ramos Allup
habla sobre la “transición”, en https://youtu.be/zzudMxJGnVU, min 0:52).
Some may say that the plans being developed
with double agent Cliver Alcalá Cordones in Colombia would show that Guaidó and
its people would deny this. But the regime was already aware of this move, as
it has always been aware of all the opposition moves where Alcalá Cordones has
been used, since he has been acting for a long time as its military advisor,
even in Cúcuta on 23F-2019, when humanitarian aid would enter Venezuela "
yes or yes ". I do not believe in opposing naivety. Alcalá Cordones has
been designated as a drug trafficker by the United States since 2011, so it is
not difficult to deduce that he has been on a counter-intelligence mission for
the regime for a long time (see in Spanish Joseph Humire: Alcalá Cordones
estaba en una misión de contrainteligencia, en https://es.panampost.com/emmanuel-rondon/2020/03/27/joseph-humire-alcala-estaba-en-una-mision-de-contrainteligencia/).
It is one thing for Guaido to declare the
need for a National Emergency Government including factors negotiated with the
regime, ignoring how that supposed government would enter into power functions
(we suppose they would be negotiating a new version of 30A-2019 now with the
reality of an international price for Maduro's head); and a very different one
is that a transition be installed without Chavism - because they are a minority
in the population and their entire criminal leadership is responsible for the
Venezuelan crisis - and Chavism would come to power without the criminal ties
of the previous regime after the displacement of Maduro and his thieves, with
the help of international police intervention.
What we would be talking about here is two
different ways of gaining access to power, the first being by cohabiting with
armed factors of Castro-Chavism-Madurism to look after their common interests
but strongly controlled from behind by these factors; and the second is for
Juan Guaidó to carry out a joint operation with the international community
that would lead to the capture of all those identified by the U.S. justice
system and establish a Civil-Military Government Board with the participation
of Venezuelan military personnel who have been forced into exile from the
country, and civilians with an unquestionable ethical and moral record and an
undeniable record of service to the nation. The latter is the formula proposed
by ANCO in its communiqué of March 28, 2020 (see in Spanish Comunicado ANCO a
todos los venezolanos, El Gran Cambio, en http://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2020/03/comunicado-anco-todos-los-venezolanos.html).
Would Americans be aware of this new proposal
from Guaidó to solve the crisis after Maduro? I don't think so. I think that
this was the response of the official opposition of Lopez-Guaidó to the
unveiling of the joint plans with the original Chavismo represented by Cliver
Alcalá Cordones, Luisa Ortega Díaz and other widows of the deceased Chávez. It
was difficult for the gringos to agree on a formula that still leaves a large
part of the regime - exactly half! - in a "parity" distribution of
the government, leaving the very bottom of the problem unresolved, because
Guaidó would hardly control that government if not the factors that would be
left armed by Maduro's regime. If Guaidó believes that he could govern in a
stable manner with the weapons in the hands of a castro-chavismo-madurismo
without Maduro, and of the armed to the teeth collectives of Freddy Bernal
throughout the country, it would be a serious case of criminal negligence.
With this declared emergency cohabitation,
the President-in-Charge puts himself in an unacceptable situation for
Venezuelans by appearing as a hostage of the regime by telling us that there is
no other way to proceed but by cohabiting with them (if not then as the phrase "so that a National Emergency
Government is possible and can be sustainable" denying that they can
govern alone: "but neither can it be
a government formed only by the forces we represent"). How is it
possible that Guaido proposes a new government that shares in equal conditions
with those who destroyed Venezuela? Where does parity with criminals come from?
Power will not be transferred to Guaidó's hands without prior negotiation, if
it does not come from the very bowels of Castro-Chavismo-Madurismo. That is why
the official opposition has the nerve to propose this formula as an accomplice
to get out of the crisis, using COVID-19 to convince us. That is absolutely
despicable. Guaidó has the obligation that we Venezuelans gave it on January
23, 2019 to end the usurpation, not to live with it.
The premises on which Guaidó justifies making
this Emergency Cohabitation with a "parity" State Council are not
sustainable not only because the regime is practically technically fallen after
March 26, only waiting for its main leaders to be captured by international
justice, but also because in his capacity as President of the National
Legitimate Assembly he can authorize with the parliament the use of foreign
military missions in the country (Article 187#11), and subsequently convene a
Civic-Military Government Board as we suggested in the ANCO communiqué
mentioned above. I made this detail known to Guaidó himself through a Twitter
thread (see thread addressed to the President in charge @JGuaido, in https://twitter.com/laguana/status/1244097043536232449).
If Juan Guaidó negotiates with Maduro's
criminal regime a succession of power by choosing to cohabit in emergency,
using with us the record of an alleged untenability, instead of displacing it
completely with the help of international police forces, as would be
appropriate according to the confirmation of the criminal activities of its
main leaders exposed universally, he would be as criminal as the regime itself,
since he would be openly ignoring this situation and acting in complicity with
it. We Venezuelans would find ourselves once again in a presidential power
vacuum, so Guaidó would be as illegitimate as Maduro, and a legitimate
succession of power in Venezuela would have to be resolved once again. I am
sure that the international community, and especially the United States, are
perfectly aware of this situation, which Venezuelans still ignore because of
the urgency of leaving Maduro immediately. To paraphrase a phrase from his own party:
it is time for Guaidó to get on the right side of history…
Caracas, March 30, 2020
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
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