From Gaviria to Guanipa, a long electoral road

By Luis Manuel Aguana

Versión en español

"I believe that if they tell me that we have a negotiation opportunity where the United States of America and the Lima Group, the European Union, countries like Russia and other countries that support the shameless dictator Nicolás Maduro are going to participate, I ask myself, is it worth it to go to a negotiation in those terms? My answer is YES, yes, it is worth it, not us alone with them, but if the gringos go, if the Europeans go, and if Russia goes, I think it is worth it, don't you think so? Then we are understanding each other, that would be worth it! And what do we want to get out of this negotiation? An agreement, because negotiation without agreement is useless. And what would the agreement be? The electoral conditions, plus an electoral schedule that includes, even if it is not the first activity, the Presidency of the Republic. If that happens, I will be happy to go to any election! But if that does not happen, it makes no sense! Because there are no conditions and because we consider it a farce we did not go to the recent "and that" elections of December 6 of the National Assembly ..." (see in Spanish, Intervención de Juan Pablo Guanipa, Primer VP de la legítima Asamblea Nacional, en Naguanagua, Estado Carabobo el 11-01-2021, min 3:30 https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hBEw-ExQo5fHr8lgBP-vVY8YL2g3tu7s/view?usp=sharing).

These short minutes of the intervention of the Vice President of the National Assembly in Naguanagua, faithfully summarize the difference we have with the political factors that wish to go to the regional elections with the regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros in office. The tour of the political representatives of the G4 to all the States of the country is reinforcing the idea that it is enough for us to hold supervised elections without first getting rid of the Maduro regime, that is, without the famous Cessation of Usurpation, which 6.4 million Venezuelans demanded from December 7 to 12, 2020, in the first question of the Popular Consultation. This discourse hides what we decided in Venezuela and which is a mandate for all Venezuelans, seeking an electoral agreement with Nicolás Maduro Moros.

Now, the approach of the PJ leader would be digestible if we were not dealing with a gang of criminals, not only electoral, that we have ruling Venezuela. With a regime that only "steals" some elections, that would be perhaps the most appropriate thing to do, because by bringing the electoral surveillance from outside, it would be more than enough for them to hand over power, even the Presidency of the Republic, as Juan Pablo Guanipa said in that speech (note that you can hear it all so that it is not said that I quoted it out of context). The problem is not only that they steal them, but also that they impose an armed authoritarian procedure, throwing away the popular will if the votes are not favorable to them. What do we do with that? As proof, look at the cases of the State of Táchira with an illegal regent supported by the FARC and the blatant theft of the Governorate of the State of Bolivar, not including the forced dispossession suffered by Guanipa himself in the State of Zulia.

Assuming the good faith of Juan Pablo Guanipa, as lawyers use to say (good faith is presumed, bad faith must be proved), the parties are preparing themselves electorally throughout the country to go to these elections if the International Community and the regime reach an agreement. AND THIS IS NOT ACCEPTABLE.

And why is it not acceptable? Again, because Venezuelans have already decided in a Binding and Constitutional Popular Consultation that Nicolás Maduro Moros must be out of power in order to hold any fair, free and verifiable election in Venezuela. If the official results of the Popular Consultation were of the official knowledge - and it is worth the redundancy - of all the Foreign Ministries of the world that have recognized Juan Guaidó Marquez as Constitutional President (E) of the Republic, I am more than sure that those governments would respect the decision of the Venezuelan people, constituting an immovable framework for any political negotiation to be carried out from now on. But strangely enough, this has not yet taken place. We would have to ask the G4 and especially Mr. Julio Borges, in charge of foreign relations of the interim government, why this has not happened. But we could find that answer in the speech of his party colleague in Naguanagua....

Insisting on holding elections with Maduro in absolute control of all the power and weapons in the country, and pretending that he will abandon it by the decision of the Venezuelan people's votes, is not only naïve but criminal, and I do not know what is the intention of these political factors that are by no means naïve in insisting on this path. Hence, some of us are convinced that far from being naïve, they are accomplices, deliberate or not, of the regime. To pretend that there are supervised elections and that Maduro allows them reminds me of the long electoral road traveled since the famous Table of Negotiation and Agreements presided by César Gaviria, former President of Colombia, when the regime made time to fix its "triumph" by changing the Venezuelan electoral system. While Chávez and Jorge Rodríguez had fixed the SmartMatic machines, Venezuelans were going to the electoral gallows with that same excuse of Guanipa in Naguanagua, voting with supervision in a fraudulent Revocatory that ended the hopes of the whole nation, after the largest marches the whole world had ever seen for Chávez to leave.

Well, what Guanipa and the rest of the G4 are proposing to us is the same thing that happened to us with Gaviria. The International Community, with important exceptions such as the United States, so far, still believe that if we hold supervised elections, even with Maduro in Miraflores, the regime will hand over power as if the Venezuelan electoral system were strangely not as corrupt as the rest of the country's institutions. But we Venezuelans have put too many deaths and we have left stupidity behind. There are still countries in Europe that believe that the Popular Consultation was made by the opposition political parties! Please! We must inform them that it was the same citizens who proposed and carried out this Popular Consultation IN DESPITE of those parties and with it we established a mandate. There is a lot that they still do not know outside the country because parties such as Mr. Borges' have been in charge of giving them a wrong political vision of what is happening in Venezuela, in favor of their interests. Enough of that. It is time for the citizens to decide what happens in the country and not those "representatives" who no longer represent anyone. And 6.4 million Venezuelans have already decided not to go to another electoral process until Maduro and his delinquents leave, it would be good for them to start to understand this...

Caracas, March 7, 2021

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