Withstanding Venezuela's perfect storm

By Luis Manuel Aguana

Versión en español

I am sorry to say it in a way that some might call petulant, and I would have preferred to be wrong: most of the precisions of my note of March 17 last year, which lead Venezuela to a perfect storm, have been fulfilled (see Venezuela, a ship in a perfect storm, in https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/p/venezuela-ship-in-perfect-storm.html), especially the easing of the sanctions that the U.S. had applied to Venezuela, all in exchange for a possible increase in oil production. The complacent opposition was the protagonist of this act, and with its approval, the only thing missing is the materialization of its union with the regime at the altar of Mexico. We have already seen the first photos of the bride and groom, ready to consummate this union (see Blyde-Rodriguez photo, in https://twitter.com/GerardoBlyde/status/1526698340125233152).

According to a recent report by The Associated Press (see US to ease a few economic sanctions against Venezuela, in https://apnews.com/article/biden-venezuela-caribbean-united-states-f73616e984ab38e049c4881782a04959) and reviewed in Spanish by La Patilla (see in Spanish AP: EEUU alivia sanciones económicas contra Venezuela que facilitan el regreso a México, en https://tinyurl.com/mr3w6vbb) the following is detailed as follows: “The limited changes will allow Chevron Corp. to negotiate its license with the state-owned oil company, PDVSA, but not to drill or export any petroleum of Venezuelan origin, two senior U.S. government officials told The Associated Press late Monday. The officials spoke under the condition of anonymity because the formal announcement had not been made. Additionally, Carlos Erik Malpica-Flores — a former high-ranking PDVSA official and nephew of Venezuela’s first lady — will be removed from a list of sanctioned individuals, they said”.

And below it is added: “The moves follow goodwill gestures by Maduro after meeting in March with representatives of the administration of President Joe Biden and a recent gathering in Central America between U.S. officials and the main Unitary Platform opposition coalition to discuss a path forward. “These are things that ... the Unitary Platform negotiated and came to us to request that we do in order for them to be able to return to the negotiating table,” one of the officials said” (emphasis added).

 

Bloomberg reported the same: "...Joe Biden's administration plans to authorize the European oil companies still operating in Venezuela, Italy's ENI and Spain's Repsol, to send more Venezuelan crude to Europe." (see note in Spanish https://www.elinformadorve.com/internacionales/ee-uu-planea-autorizar-a-las-petroleras-repsol-y-eni-enviar-crudo-venezolano-a-europa/). This is already a fact in full execution.

Once again, the international media point out the negotiation of our future behind the backs of Venezuelans. The so-called new Unitary Platform formally requests the US to ease the sanctions on the regime in exchange for its agreement to return to the negotiating table in Mexico. And it does not take a fortune teller to know what comes next: negotiating elections. And again, the regime will administer those elections, as it has done for more than 20 years, with the results known to all.

However, this time there is an important difference in relation to previous occasions: these elections of 2024 have the endorsement of the U.S. to be held with the regime, so that the result that comes out of them will determine the longed-for international recognition that the regime has been desperately seeking since the International Community turned its back on Maduro as illegitimate. And this is the most serious thing that in my opinion underlies this whole storm: the future strengthening of the regime, with the collaboration of the new "opposition" Unitary Platform, with the blessing of the US. This seems to be the foreseeable future of Venezuelans. Terrible, isn't it?

This being so, we Venezuelans find ourselves alone weathering the perfect storm in the middle of a raging ocean that surrounds us on all sides, looking for the stability of a boat that is unraveling.  All the variables seem to be against us, even those we thought were working in favor of getting out of the storm. What do you do in these cases? Obviously, the same thing that the captain of the ship Andrea Gail did: hold on to the helm and do not let the storm determine the course, no matter how strong it is, even if it means that we all sink. The latter is up to God, no one else.

And what is the course set by the captain? The one he conscientiously considers as the right one because the lives of the crew and passengers of the ship are at stake. And at this moment the ship called Venezuela has no one at the helm. The new Unitary Platform left it alone, at the furious pace of the storm, and that will surely sink the ship, with all of us inside.

From ANCO we have decided to make "a call to Venezuelans to articulate and form a great organized popular movement that assumes the challenge of liberating the country and re-founding the nation, to ignore and turn our backs on any electoral event called by the political sectors without the PRIOR RENEWAL OF THE PUBLIC POWERS...". (see in Spanish Comunicado ANCO 21-05-2022, ANCO calls on citizens to reject and confront a political course decided behind the backs of and against the Venezuelan people, in https://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2022/05/comunicado-anco-anco-llama-la.html). This move would put Venezuelans behind the rudder of the ship that has been capsized by the betrayal of those we have hitherto considered as opponents.

In each State of the country put into motion the proposal of ANCO and convince the population to assume the call of the people to an Original National Constituent Assembly. The terms of how, when and where are secondary when we are in the middle of a perfect storm that threatens to sink the ship where we all live. The Constituent Assembly is the course that each and every one of us must set, firmly holding the helm of that ship until we get out of the storm.

We will not have a country without previously deciding on a new institutional framework for the Public Powers corrupted by the regime, just as we will never get out of the storm without setting a course to get out of it, as Seneca (4 BC - 65 AD) said: "There is no favorable wind for the ship that does not know where it is going". With this proposal we know where we are going, and with the right wind we will get out of it by ourselves with the help of the Almighty...

Caracas, May 22, 2022

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