By Luis Manuel Aguana
It is an interesting debate that
arises in the country when it comes to the urgent issue of the need for a
Transitional Government, and even more so when it comes to how long this
supposed government should be in office, especially without saying how we will
get there.
Without exception, all the
"oppositions" - as Prof. Agustín Blanco Muñoz would say - in the
country talk about what will be done during this transition but nobody says how
we will get there, beyond waiting for the famous "social explosion"
that does not come, with the intervention of the military to restore the
validity of the constitution. The Venezuelan political class has a lot of
experience in saying what they will do when they are in power but none when it
comes to getting their heads in the game about how to get out of a dictatorship
constitutionally.
The truth is that there are no
serious proposals to offer the country from the political opposition that
effectively lead to the exit of the regime, other than that fraudulent
electoral route of the MUD and its new cover; it is the only one that can be
used; or those who hope that this will end by itself, aspiring to see a
Civic-Military Junta leading a transition led by a military man, most likely
from the rows of Chavism, because they are the ones who have control of the
Armed Forces. Now it turns out that the other opposition solution is to put at
the head those who have mercilessly trampled on the human rights of
Venezuelans. They'll say that's the way
politics is....
This being so, possibly for the
classical opposition politician, the struggle for political power to arrive at
a presumed next "Republic" would be reduced to identifying who is or
are more advanced in the military conspiracy, by filling a position in that
Junta to be formed. And once again, another turn in the endless cycle that has
been Venezuela's political history would begin.
In short, while one part of the
political country is trying to take the country to the electoral
slaughterhouse, the other part that does not agree has no other choice but to
wait for the events to take place, even pushing in some cases for them to
materialize into a Civic-Military Junta, betting that this will fall as soon as
possible, suggesting that when this happens the political forces will have to
regroup in a sort of new equation.
So that is how things have been
going up to now in the opposition sector: some seeking to lead us to vote
without explaining to us how we will solve the very serious problem of a
Constituent Assembly that will do what it pleases with what happens before and
after these "elections"; and others, who, while they deny the
fraudulent electoral solution, do not finish explaining to us how this
much-vaunted transition will take place, other than by waiting for a military
uprising. From my point of view, I don't know which one is worse.
From the first opposition group I
can expect anything, because they are betting on living with the regime, even
if they "win" - or let them "win" - those elections,
because they are tolerating going to an electoral act called by an
unconstitutional Constituent not recognized worldwide. But of the second group
we must reflect much more carefully.
There is a management saying that
doing nothing is a decision. If the political opposition that rejects the call
for elections decides to "wait" for something to happen, it is
definitely dead. It is not enough to tell people that what is coming on May 20,
or by the time the regime decides to make those election, is a fraud with the
full force of the law, and that its results will be rejected by everyone. It is
necessary to direct the actions and propose concrete paths that will be
followed by a people eager for political leadership.
If what this opposition is waiting
for is for this to fall just because the country can't stand it anymore, and
that's why the Armed Forces must intervene, specifically the Chavismo military
of the 4F because they control the military army quarters, it's difficult for
Venezuelans to have guarantees that what's coming next will be better. We will
indeed have the hope of a change for a better future because Maduro is gone,
but only that, the hope, not the guarantee.
Why are we insisting on a solution
where the people decide? Because we in civil society cannot stand by and wait
for something to happen. We are the mourners of this monumental disaster and we
cannot wait any longer. The approach of a Popular Consultation that clearly
expresses the route to follow, leaves no gap unsealed.
First, we can call it at any time
and its effects must be respected. Second, it decides to dismantle the regime
and its unconstitutional institutions from the hands of those of us who are the
repositories of sovereignty. Thirdly, it orders how a Transitional Government
should be appointed, guaranteeing its legitimacy of origin. And lastly, and
perhaps most importantly, it guarantees and orders that this change of
government be decided among all the political forces from within a constituency
legitimately elected in a National Constituent Assembly of an Original
character.
Why do
political forces dismiss this path and even sabotage it? Because no one -
especially the military or any of these figures who publicly dispute political
power - would have control of that Transitional Government, only the people
through their legitimately elected representatives in an Original Constituent
Assembly.
If we
Venezuelans decide in a Popular Consultation on the solution to this crisis,
the compliance of the military, regardless of whether they are Chavistas of the
4F, Maduristas of the High Command, institutional, or indifferent, have
the obligation to comply with this direct mandate, in obedience due
to the Civil Power of the Venezuelan people. If we keep waiting for the
situation to get worse and worse without doing anything, we will be choosing
the transition to come. Now, you choose your transition. I decided which one I
want for Venezuela...
Caracas,
March 19, 2018
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
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