By Luis
Manuel Aguana
I
highlight this part of my last note of 2019:“If
the regime assaults the National Assembly at the point of corruption
(which in some way they have already done with the only return to the
Chamber of the illegal deputies of the PSUV with the consent of
Guaidó-G4/FA), the official opposition would have no other formal
way to go but to react in a forceful way and block the departure in
defense of the only legitimate power in the country, on pain of
disappearing as a collegiate body. The act would provoke an
institutional crisis that should end with a declaration of closure of
that National Assembly as we know it, giving way to a real opposition
resistance, with immediate decisions that would turn the country's
course around. That's what should happen, in that case, if they
really think about the future of the Venezuelans and basically want
to change things... but don't forget that we are dealing with an
opposition that wants to cohabit, and it wouldn't be strange if they
lost another opportunity to act on everything that was asked of them
and they didn't do it in 2019”(see
Start over, in https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/p/blog-page_938.html).
The
above is not a way of saying “I told you so”, but one of the
scenarios I outlined as a possibility for January 5, 2020. I confess
that I did not expect them to go as far as mounting a cohabitation
iron. It is that they were so sure that they would prevent the
re-election of Guaidó, that I imagine it was a touch of deliberate
contempt to seize the opportunity to defecate in the soul all those
who still believe they are facing politicians who dialogue and
respect agreements, and not against criminals. Look well, that's what
criminals do and that's what happens when you let the enemy into your
house. They let the PSUV Deputies into the National Assembly and
those are the consequences.
What I am
sure of this play now is that it is not just the regime. None of
these deputies - unknown until today by Venezuelans - and given their
levels on the partisan scale in their respective parties, would act
on their own without the endorsement of their political leaders. None
of the parties to which the "dissenting" deputies appointed
as new Directors of the National Assembly claim to belong have so far
said that they are unaware of the actions of these militants. Luis
Parra (PJ) President, Franklyn Duarte (COPEI), 1st. Vice President,
José Gregorio Noriega (VP), 2nd. Vice President, and Negal Morales
(AD), Secretary, are not what we could say the leading line of those
parties. How could they have had the initiative to go alone against
the Guaidó line and achieve what they achieved? To another asshole
with that story.
Without an
immediate, firm and forceful declaration of the G4 / FA and Juan
Guaidó ignoring the actions of these deputies, we would conclude
that they acted in full collusion with their political leaders to
give a new respite to the failed management of Juan Guaidó and the
G4 / FA, placing them as martyrs of the regime. It is very strange
that this platform came out at the last minute without any reaction
from a Julio Borges, a Henry Ramos Allup, not even Juan Guaidó
himself, given the importance of what was being played there.
On
the other hand, as I mentioned last December 31, after what happened
Juan Guaidó should give way to a true opposition resistance if it
really is true that there is no collusion with that “new
Directive”, formally investing as President in Charge, with the
support of the opposition deputies who could not exercise their right
to vote for a new Directive due to the responsibility of the regime,
and formalize a Governing Council to take the necessary steps to
displace Maduro and the criminals of
the narco
regime from
power, with the collaboration and the strength of the International
Community. That should be the next step after a "coup to
parliament" as they have baptized it, carried out by the regime
and its accomplices - until now - of the official opposition.
If,
on the contrary, we see that the “new Directive” of the Assembly
continues to operate without the proven rejection of the official
opposition, we would be in the presence of a new deception to
Venezuelans and a trick to refloat the image of Juan Guaidó that is
in the basement. The first statements of the "new President"
of the National Assembly point to the appointment of a CNE for an
election. Don't you think that is suspicious?
In
any case, seen from the outside, the impasse gives the opportunity -
built or not - to the official opposition and to Guaidó to claim
against the country. If the regime made the mistake of not waiting
for the regulatory quorum, nor letting the Guaidó Directive enter
the Parliament to install the National Assembly, it can hardly expect
a recognition from the world. The International Community, headed by
the United States, has already rejected the regime's show, at the
head of Michael
G. Kozak, Acting Assistant Secretary for U.S. Department of State's
Bureau of Western Hemisphere Affairs (see
https://twitter.com/WHAAsstSecty/status/1213907956955336705)
by declaring the entire act as a farce. If what they expected with a
new puppet directive of the regime was to negotiate the suspension of
sanctions and chimbas elections, the show will not give them that.
The Americans continue to recognize Guaidó
as President in Charge as the same official says: “@Jguaido
remains #Venezuela’s
interim president under its constitution. This morning’s phony
National Assembly session lacked a legal quorum. There was no vote”
(see
https://twitter.com/WHAAsstSecty/status/1213907955466350598).
On
the other hand, if the act was the staging of a play between the
regime and its opposition, I do not think it will result either. The
regime will persist in its puppet and Guaidó Directive, no matter
how much it meets and invites as reelected President in a place or in
the auditorium of El Nacional, it will not be recognized by Maduro
and his criminals. It will be persecuted and the valid Directive of
the National Assembly will be for them the one they chose today
without quorum and without votes, in a cohabitation fully accepted
covertly by the parties of that Directive of G4 / FA militants who
came out of nowhere to follow in the business of corruption with the
regime as if nothing had happened here. The President in Charge now
has the floor and a second chance. It is the opportunity mentioned by
former Ambassador Diego Arria (see
https://www.facebook.com/103324305197/posts/10162576161790198/).
But I will not be as exquisite as my dear friend: Either he puts on
the balls and does what he had to do in 2019, or that I quit for
someone else to do it. Venezuela can no longer wait for him ...
Caracas,
January 5, 2020
Email:
luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
(still suspended)
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