"Necessary conditions do not express a causal relationship between antecedent and consequent: the presence of oxygen is not a cause of life, but a necessary requirement. Necessary conditions may express a causal relationship, but not necessarily: there is a relationship of cause and effect between eating fish in bad conditions and falling ill, but not between the phenomena indicated in the phrase "if the sun rises we will go for a walk". Conditions that are both necessary and sufficient are interpreted as causal. At least one of its interpretations defines cause as "the set of conditions that are both necessary and sufficient for something to happen". (see in Spanish Condición necesaria y suficiente, Enciclopaedia Herder, https://encyclopaedia.herdereditorial.com/wiki/Condici%C3%B3n_necesaria_y_suficiente).
Making it easier to understand with a simple example, it is a necessary condition that you have a car to go from Caracas to Valencia (assuming you want to go comfortably by car to Valencia, of course), but not enough. It also requires that someone knows how to drive the vehicle, and has gasoline (condition that lately is not given in Venezuela). Then that trip will only take place by car when the necessary (the car) and sufficient (the driver and the gasoline) conditions are indeed present, as indicated in the above concept. There may be other sufficient conditions (rubber in good condition, oil, water, good mechanical conditions, etc.) but for the purposes of the explanation it is, worth the redundancy, sufficient, to understand the difference and the proposal.
The fact that the President-in-Charge proposed to the international community in his speech to the United Nations a political course of action based on the recent independent report ordered by the UN Human Rights Council (see Detailed findings of the Independent International fact-finding mission on the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, in https://www.ohchr.org/_layouts/15/WopiFrame.aspx?sourcedoc=/Documents/HRBodies/HRCouncil/FFMV/A_HRC_45_CRP.11.pdf&action=default&DefaultItemOpen=1) does not mean that this condition is sufficient to achieve the exit from the regime of Nicolas Maduro Moros. I say this because the messages on social networks point out that, as the President in Charge has formally requested the help of the international community based on the responsibility to protect (R2P) of nations, established by UN agreement in 2005, this is more than enough to get us all to La Guaira to wait for the landing of the Marines or the UN blue helmets, without doing anything else. And this is completely out of touch with reality.
And unfortunately that is the product of a thundering campaign that indicates that as "alone we cannot" all the weight of this equation for the displacement of the regime is outside Venezuela. Of course it is outside Venezuela, but as a necessary but not sufficient condition! In this case the crimes against humanity, well founded in the last report of the UN Human Rights Council on Venezuela, the situation of the narco-terrorist and outlaw state led by Nicolás Maduro Moros, are the necessary but not sufficient conditions for the regime to fall. If it were for necessary conditions we would not be talking about this now, there are not enough of them.
If I was not the first to introduce the topic of R2P in the context of the sad history of our country since 20 years ago, at least if I was one of the first (and excuse the first person who is already indicated in this blog) when I described that it was exactly 2 years ago (ver of 09/24/2018, From humanitarian intervention to the Responsibility to Protect, in https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/p/from-humanitarian-intervention-to.html). He indicated that we are not facing a discussion of terms but a new concept of how sovereignty should be understood today in a globalized context of respect for human rights. Talking about "Responsibility to Protect" leads us to discuss the responsibility of States to protect their citizens, and if they do not do so by action or omission, the obligation of the International Community to intervene for human protection purposes.
The R2P began to be present in social networks, media and national political opinion following the events of February 2019 with the entry of humanitarian aid to Venezuela. On February 7, 2019, I stated in a radio program why humanitarian aid could enter Venezuela in the application of the same principle (R2P), since the regime closed the border with Colombia in the Tienditas Bridge. This is what I wrote in a note of the same date (ver The R2P or why humanitarian aid can enter Venezuela, in https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/p/the-r2p-or-why-humanitarian-aid-can.html).
A few days later, on February 11, 2019, and as a result of that situation, as a member at that time of the Alianza Soy Venezuela, we made public that same position calling for the immediate activation of the International Community's Responsibility to Protect (R2P) (see in Spanish Comunicado de Soy Venezuela del 11 de Febrero de 2019, #SoyVenezuela exhorta a la activación inmediata de la Responsabilidad de Proteger (R2P) de la Comunidad Internacional, in https://twitter.com/SoyVenezuela/status/1094971750394286080).
So it is not now that we are seeking to activate that international principle approved at the 2005 UN World Summit: "The clear and unequivocal acceptance by all governments of the collective international responsibility to protect populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. The willingness to take timely and decisive collective action to that end, through the Security Council, when peaceful means are proving inadequate and national authorities are manifestly failing to do so". (see in Spanish Documento Final de la Cumbre de 2005, in https://www.un.org/spanish/summit2005/fact_sheet.html) (highlighted our).
I wanted to establish with this sequence that the Government in Charge is the last but the most important to pronounce itself in relation to the necessary and urgent application of this fundamental international humanitarian principle in Venezuela, with this speech of President in Charge Juan Guaidó. But it is by no means enough.
We Venezuelans must continue in the citizen's struggle even when it seems that this principle is sufficient for the exit of the regime, and it is not. In fact, the Responsibility to Protect that countries have is a moral obligation, it is not obligatory and it depends fundamentally on the correlation of political forces inclined towards the application of force in our country, which up to now has not been favorable, although it cannot be discarded. The Responsibility to Protect (R2P) has the UN Security Council as its sole executor.
When would it be possible for the international community to take a step in that direction? At ANCO we are convinced, as well as many personalities throughout the country who have signed the proclamations that have been made public so far in 10 federal entities of Venezuela (see in Spanish ANCO Proclamas de Venezuela por una Consulta Popular Vinculante, en https://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2020/08/comunicado-anco-proclamas-de-venezuela.html) that the sufficient condition will be given when the same Depositary of Sovereignty is the one who expresses his clear mandate for the expulsion of the regime, ordering by means of a Binding Popular Consultation, the Cessation of the Usurpation in Venezuela and the installation of a Transitional Government to carry out free and transparent elections.
If this mandate is not fulfilled, the necessary and sufficient conditions would be completed to provoke the materialization of the solution of force, because the fulfillment of another principle much more rooted in the International Community would already operate, the Self-Determination of the People of Venezuela to decide its destiny. No country, no matter how much it is a partner of the regime, could oppose that principle in the UN and its Security Council. Guaidó's speech requesting the R2P was only the necessary condition, now there is not enough condition from the hands of the Venezuelan People to achieve freedom…
Caracas, September 24, 2020
Blog: http://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/
Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com
Twitter:@laguana
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario