I still watch with amazement the journalistic insistence on treating the Constituent Assembly issue as a way to "get out of the regime". That wrong approach puts us in the sad situation of explaining that although that is a consequence of a possible decision of a Constituent Assembly composed by the legitimate representation of the Venezuelan people, it IS NOT the reason why we are asking for it in the current circumstances of the life of the country.
And just as you do not remodel an entire house because there is a wall that is badly put up, a country does not enter a constituent process because there is a bad ruler. One remodels the house because it is falling down, because the pipes are broken and water is coming out of the walls on all sides and they need to be replaced, because it is necessary to change the electrical system and its pipes, because if it is not done a fire will break out at any moment, because the bathrooms need to be modified because they are no longer practical and require an urgent modernization according to the growth of the family. It is clear that in order for all this to be done, it is quite possible that it will be necessary to demolish some walls and build others. The remodeling happens because the house is no longer habitable or because it does not meet the requirements that a house should have to adapt to the needs of those who live in it.
The house where we live, Venezuela, is uninhabitable. Those who administer what belongs to everyone took care of breaking the bathrooms, breaking through walls in the middle of the living room, destroying the spaces and rooms, breaking the water pipes and ruining the electric lighting. They turned our house, which was already in bad shape when they arrived, into a dump where it is impossible to live. It is not by replacing the administrator with another one that we will live better in a destroyed house. We have to rebuild it!
And that is our proposal. To rebuild the house FIRST so that we can decide among all of us the administrator AFTER. We have a project for that new house and it is called The Great Change (see The Great Change, a proposal for the country we want, in https://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2021/01/comunicado-anco-el-gran-cambio-una.html). Many may like it or not, but it is our project, a model of what this new house would be for the next generations. That is the discussion we want to have, not a script to manage a house that is falling down (government program). Nobody here is promoting himself as a new administrator (President of the Republic). We are trying to ensure that this is what is being discussed in the country, not who will be the candidate for the election of a new administrator of the disaster.
That is why we ask ourselves: why instead of elections the "opposition" does not negotiate in Mexico or anywhere else the convocation of the Constituent Assembly? Because that is, in our opinion, the discussion that the country should be having: who would think of a new administrator of something that is falling down? And I can only think of one answer: to continue living off the business that comes with the contracting of hot cloths for a house where it is no longer possible to live. And we Venezuelans are fed up with that, as shown in the polls.
If everybody in Venezuela would demand the same thing, the Refoundation of the Nation, as already stated by the Catholic Church and supported by ANCO, through an Original Constituent process, the International Community would also demand that from the regime, not useless elections. And why useless? Because the only ones who benefit from elections to continue administering a destroyed house, are those who have always done business with the governments. And in this case the table would be set for that.
And how do we stop an opinion matrix that pushes for elections with a regime that controls all powers, including the electoral, and especially the judiciary with another 12 years of red domination?
A basic way would be to turn their backs on those who insist on following the electoral story. And this is already being manifested by Venezuelans right now in 2022, as reflected in the April 2022 Meganálisis Survey, where in an open question 70.5% of Venezuelans do not trust that by exercising their right to vote, the changes that Venezuela needs can be produced (see in Spanish Meganalisis, Public Report (Part I), Disclosable Results (partial information), April 2022, at https://twitter.com/Meganalisis/status/1529665491731730434).
However, the same survey indicates in a closed question that 47.4% believe that political changes can be produced through an unexpected event. If this is well understood, they are referring to a coup d'état or an intervention. In other words, almost half of the population expects "an unexpected event" to change things in the country, and almost half of that, 23.1%, still thinks in dialogues, agreements and elections.
And who do you think can be held responsible for that? The Venezuelans? The only ones to blame are those who still insist on elections with the regime in power. This correlates with the open question asked in that survey, where 71.1% of Venezuelans do not think that the last three elections were free and respected the will and desire of the majority, and of that 71.1%, 83.4% think that it will not be possible to achieve conditions for free elections in Venezuela.
Much more than three quarters of Venezuelans -a super-qualified majority- no longer believe in elections, so the political sectors can hardly expect that this strategy of putting hot cloths on a destroyed house will be useful to achieve Venezuela's freedom.
So, according to that survey, Venezuelans are, so far, debating between two clear paths: to wait for "an unexpected event" or to go to an election arranged for 2024. And in our opinion, that is not the debate we should be having in Venezuela.
ANCO's proposal to Venezuelans in view of what the political sectors are proposing to offer the same and expect different results (a proposal that has ceased to be Einsteinian madness and has become pure and simple collaborationist corruption) is to negotiate, with the support of the International Community, a Refoundation of the Nation (reconstruction of the house) through an Original National Constituent Assembly convened this year, with an ad-hoc Electoral Tribunal (established by the parties for that purpose only), with internationally established guarantees of compliance, and independent from the Public Powers kidnapped by the tyranny. That is the real discussion. A Constituent already with the electoral guarantees of an independent Electoral Tribunal, without the intervention of the public powers of the regime, or elections in 2024 with the CNE of the regime. Let the pollsters ask the people which of the two they would prefer.
However, this option is not mentioned in the Meganálisis survey because it is NOT WHAT THE POLITICAL SECTORS ARE PROMOTING, and ANCO is a civil society organization. But this should not be an obstacle for not openly discussing a political approach of such nature, where the future of the Nation is involved. And that situation must end at this moment, if we still think of a negotiated, non-violent solution, which is not what almost half of the population is expecting, according to the above mentioned survey.
If all variables remain the same, "ceteris paribus", as economists say, the regime will comfortably win the 2024 elections, not only because the collaborationist satraps of the opposition will make sure that there is a candidate who accepts that he "lost" (as sadly happened in 2006, 2012 and 2013) even without having finished counting the votes (Rosales 2006 and possibly Rosales 2024), but also because nobody will be able to say that the regime is illegitimate at that moment, because that opposition would hand them legitimacy on a silver platter.
Continuing on the current path is an act of suicide. All Venezuelans must promote an option that puts in the hands of the Venezuelan people, in the most immediate way possible, the decision of what to do with the regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros. And that option has a name and a single purpose: Let the people decide!
Caracas, May 27, 2022
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