Candidate or opposition leader

By Luis Manuel Aguana

Versión en español

When María Corina Machado (MCM) threw herself into the primary arena, the prevailing discourse was that she was doing it so that the Venezuelan people would decide about the leadership of the opposition. And this made sense because all the "opposition" parties were -and still are- nothing more than an empty shell that no longer represented -and even more so now- the interests of Venezuelans in opposition to the regime, and that it was necessary to decide with the votes who should set the course of the opposition in Venezuela.

After October 22, 2023, date of the primary election, MCM won more than 90% of the votes cast in that electoral contest, becoming the undisputed leader of the opposition in Venezuela. It was clear that an immediate consequence of this was that she would represent us as the opposition candidate in the Presidential elections, in spite of the fact that the regime would try to block her way with the illegal disqualification she claims, and which is now being heard, by the grace of the Barbados agreements, in the TSJ controlled by the regime.

However, this struggle to become the candidate she did not pretend to be before the primaries, contradicting her initial approach, has taken away her strength to lead the way of the opposition, embodying the true leadership of the opposition. From the outward manifestations of that leadership, only the efforts to get the CNE of the regime to accept her candidacy can be appreciated, and most of her energy is invested in the organization of those elections which, if held, she would undoubtedly win if she were allowed to participate.

But there is a small but major detail: we are in a tyranny! If we had the rule of law and a smooth democracy, it would not be necessary for MCM to fight to be a candidate, after having won a primary with more than enough votes, and even less in a Supreme Court controlled by those in power. That would happen as an immediate and natural consequence of the result of the primary election. But again, we are in a tyranny.

The person who happened to be appointed President of the new TSJ of the regime, is the same person who in the Electoral Chamber of that illegitimate TSJ, issued a sentence that "invalidated" the results of the opposition primaries, so that according to her, and of course to the regime that appointed her, MCM won absolutely nothing, and far from being the "representative of the opposition" she is just a random person to whom the regime illegally disqualified from competing for a position of popular representation. And that is where we stand.

So I think that the importance of being the leader of the opposition scales exponentially over her dubious condition of candidate, because that is a problem that has not yet been solved. And that is what the opposition leadership must first resolve, but that will not be resolved in the courts of the regime. That is precisely why she MUST FIRST BE LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION, in order to become a candidate. That is the correct succession of events, and that is the friendly claim that some of us have made in the social networks, and main reason why she competed in an event organized by those who want to see her bone.

That, of course, does not mean that the 600K volunteers for the election and/or the presidential campaign will not be organized. What I manifest is that this will not make her a candidate. What it will do is that this country will boil on all 4 sides demanding what must be demanded, over and above the persecutions, until politics prevails over the illegal juridicity of the regime. And what must be demanded is not precisely free, fair and verifiable elections, but the consequence of not having them, expressed in all the social unrest that makes the regime panic when a brave teacher organizes a demonstration in Barinas in rejection of this starvation regime, and the regime's gorillas smash his door to put him in jail.

That pressure is not going to come from outside the country or from aliens, waiting for the regime to meekly agree to give him the approval as a candidate for a non-existent justice, but from a huge social pressure led by a firm and determined leadership as the one MCM had accustomed us to.

And that is what we have unfortunately not seen. In a recent article signed by Vladimir Petit Medina (see Morfema Press, El secuestro político de la opción opositora, at https://morfema.press/opinion/el-secuestro-politico-de-la-opcion-opositora-por-vladimir-petit-medina-phd/), Petit confirms the fears expressed in my last note when he denounced "the political kidnapping of the opposition option at the hands of those who manage the dialogue and negotiation that keep Venezuela in suspense".

In fact, in my last note (see Lifetime Assembly, in  https://ticsddhh.blogspot.com/p/lifetime-assembly.html) stated that in spite of the massive vote of the Venezuelan opposition on October 22, the so-called PU, an imitation of the old MUD and a sort of new snakeskin that it permanently uses to continue to prosper in the opposition and its representation abroad, continues to be an obstacle for the full exercise of the decisions that are needed in Venezuela to get out of the regime. But that is precisely why MCM was elected. What is preventing MCM from legitimately imposing itself as opposition leader at the negotiating table with the regime?

But Petit goes further, expressing: "It must recover the autonomy before the Americans that made it great before and return to the courage before the regime that led it to rebuke Chávez when the great majority did not dare. This situation today is unrecognizable", giving examples of total independence of the Venezuelan leadership of our past presidents such as Perez and Caldera, before the pressures of the Americans. And that is what makes a credible and respectable leadership. Who have soiled that tradition? Those who have led the political caste that rightly defeated the MCM last October 22.

It is time for an unprecedented gesture, completely distanced from the current agenda of the Americans and those who have failed to lead the opposition so far. It is time for those of us who voted on October 22nd for the current leader of the opposition. Otherwise MCM will never be a presidential candidate in 2024.

Caracas, January 19, 2024

Blog: TIC’s & Derechos Humanos,

Email: luismanuel.aguana@gmail.com

Twitter:@laguana

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