Some dear friends have written to me asking if, according to my last notes, I am changing my position in relation to a possible "electoral exit" of this regime, taking into account the massive support that the citizenship endorsed to María Corina Machado (MCM) in the primaries of October 22, and asking if I now believe that the regime can exit by votes.
My answer remains the same: I do not believe that the regime, keeping control of the current electoral system with automated vote counting, will lose any election. In fact, I never thought that the primaries would take place without the CNE. However, I was surprised to see that the CNE, after having submitted in June to the National Primary Commission (CNP) and while waiting for the letter sent to the Electoral Power requesting support, the regime decided to "resign" the CNE board. This forced the CNP to carry out "self-managed" primaries, thus deciding the fate of the process with the definitive incorporation of MCM on the ballot, as the most relevant condition required was fulfilled in its favor: primaries without CNE. And the rest is history.
At the time, I considered it a mistake for MCM to participate in a process that would not be controlled by her, but by her political enemies of the official opposition, participating as a "cockroach in a chicken dance", since once the CNE was involved in those primaries, as it was foreseeable, MCM with her phrase "until the end" would be forced to participate there with everything to lose, since that process would be controlled by those who never wanted her, neither from this side nor from the other side.
But I was wrong. And I was wrong because I disregarded, like many others, a factor in the political equation of the moment: the Venezuelan people. That people deceived by both sides, official opposition and regime, and who saw in MCM the perfect "outsider" in whom to deposit the political resentment caused by the improper conducts of both actors in 23 years of iniquity against the population, including the opposition interim. MCM represented, and represents now for Venezuelans, the true image of the country's political opposition against the tyranny of Nicolás Maduro Moros, who will not cohabit with the regime, depositing in her the confidence that she will do everything she has to do to end this Castro-Chavist-Madurist nightmare as soon as possible.
By massively coming out to vote on October 22, the People decided and sealed without a doubt the path and who will go ahead, and that path is none other than the electoral one, despite the fact that many of us do not like to go to elections with a tyranny controlling the vote counting machines. The only thing left for those of us who distrust, for technical and weighty reasons, this system built with technology in favor of the continuity of the regime in power, is to guide this new opposition with ideas so that the regime does not get away with it again.
But the regime also made a mistake in its calculation, underestimating the People's factor. They believed that nobody or a minimum number of opponents throughout the country would come out to vote in view of the continuous sabotage to the process. The same People's factor organized centers and tables, and manually counted the votes, with all the inclement weather on top of it, with little or no help from the official opposition parties that had decided hours before the primaries not to participate in the process.
This factor mobilized the masses so that a candidate could be elected who truly represented the aspirations of the majority of the opposition. As well indicated in the ANCO communiqué before the proclamation of MCM as candidate of the opposition: "The hills did come down but to line up at the polling stations to get rid of the regime democratically with their vote..." (see in Spanish ANCO Communiqué 10-26-2023, in https://ancoficial.blogspot.com/2023/10/comunicado-anco-anco-ante-la.html).
The anger of the regime is perhaps not so much that MCM was the winner in this process, but to see that it did so with many of the votes of those who previously danced to the sound of the feeding blackmail of a population that was fed up with them. That is the real fear behind the persecution of the CNP directors and the sentence issued today by the TSJ of the regime, according to which they leave without effect the opposition primary, and demanding the delivery of the electoral material (see in Spanish La Voz de América, TSJ de Venezuela deja sin efecto la primaria opositora, pide entregar material electoral, in https://www.vozdeamerica.com/a/venezuela-tsj-cancela-primaria-opositora-/7332883.html).
On October 22, the regime of Nicolás Maduro Moros received an accurate shot to the waterline. And in response to that, they have decided to give a kick to the Barbados Agreement, dismissing that who is behind it is the US State Department, as indicated by the confirmation in the column Carrusel, by journalist Luis Felipe Colina, in the Weekly La Razón of Sunday, October 29, No. 1484: "The "Barbados Agreements" were drafted, in English, by the US State Department, after the meetings held with representatives of the government of Nicolás Maduro and thus, in English, the texts were sent to the aforementioned island to the opposition delegation headed by Gerardo Blyde, who had to have them translated into Spanish, in a last minute correcorre" (emphasis added).
And it was not unreasonable to deduce what I had already published in a previous article: the guarantor of this agreement is the US. The regime already knows that going to an election with MCM represents the end and it is cornered. Unleashing a judicial persecution against the directors of the CNP and against those of us who voted on October 22, by seizing the contents of the voting notebooks of that primary election, will only make things worse for them. They will have no choice but to negotiate with the one who is truly the representative of the People's factor that we all reject.
Besides, it is too late for such intemperate reaction. The People's factor has already pronounced itself and MCM is the undoubted representative of the opposition people, not only for Venezuelans but also for the International Community that recognized her. The time for the regime to do something has passed and as the wise former president of the popular sayings would say "Tarde piaste pajarito!”.
Lifting the illegal disqualifications and submitting to the will of the people is what they must do now, under penalty of losing even more than what they have already lost, far beyond their own and now squalid popular base. Curious, isn't it? To now look at themselves as squalid must be very painful. But the one who has always decided that has been the People factor…
Caracas, October 30, 2023
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TIC’s & Derechos Humanos,
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